User blog:Ceauntay/Box office: Will Madea steal all the Easter eggs from Rio?

“Rio” got good reviews and did quite qell — just shy of VERY well — at the box office on its opening weekend. I figure that kids’ toon will hold a LOT of audience on this holiday weekend and come in at close to $30 million. Will that be enough to hold off Tyler Perry’s big, broad and actually pretty damn funny (funnier than his last five comedies) “Madea’s Big Happy Family”? Probably not. The box office Guru is saying $34 million for “Madea,” somewhat less ($25 ? I think not) “Rio.” Box Office Magazine is calling it a closer race — $29-27 million. We’ll see Monday. “Water for Elephants” has a decent shot at pulling in some of the Robert Pattinson audience in addition to fans of the Sara Gruen novel. Mixed reviews on that one, starting with mine. It could do mid-teens. “Disney’s African Cats” will pull a crowd, though the fact that it comes on the heel of another film on very much the same subject (“The Last Lions”) won’t help. It’s a very good wildlife doc, and the Mouse has done well with these Earth Day releases. Figure $5-7 million on that one. “Soul Surfer” has been holding audience, as have “Insidious” and even “Hanna.” Good movies sometimes stick around. “Scream 4″ may not hold that much, but still stay in the top 7 or so. “Scooby-Doo! The Movie” is looking foward to get very close to $300 million.